![]() ![]() And the Chiefs would hold at least a 3.5-point edge over every team outside of the Bucs, Bills and Ravens. Kansas City would be favored by 1.3 points over Tampa Bay on a neutral field if the teams were to suit up for a rematch tomorrow, FPI believes. Yes, the Chiefs - not the Super Bowl-champion Buccaneers - are projected to be the best team and also have the best chances to hoist the Lombardi trophy next February. The Chiefs are still Super Bowl favorites Team-by-team strength-of-schedule rankings Let's dive into the 2021 FPI projections with the 10 biggest takeaways. ![]() But the outputs are all the same: We're still talking football - and about the chances of each team's success - which now includes 17 regular-season games and an expanded playoff field. FPI then uses those ratings to simulate the season 20,000 times to create projections.įor the 2021 version of FPI, we made some under-the-hood improvements, including an updated expected points added model and a better predictive quarterback rating system. The Kansas City Chiefs might have lost Super Bowl LV, but they are still the NFL team to beat this season, according to the new ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) projections for 2021.įPI, which launched Monday, is a forward-looking projection model that includes ratings and projections for every team, from projected win-loss records to percentages to win each division.Ī full explanation for how FPI works can be found here, but here's the abridged version: The model determines forward-looking strength ratings for every team based on a variety of factors, including team win total, projected starting quarterback, returning starters and past performance on offense, defense and special teams. NFL, Fantasy NFL, Baltimore Ravens, Dallas Cowboys, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Kansas City Chiefs, Indianapolis Colts, Green Bay Packers, Houston Texans, San Francisco 49ers, Chicago Bears, Denver Broncos, Cleveland Browns, Detroit Lions, Seattle Seahawks NFL season projections 2021: Win-loss records, playoff and Super Bowl chances from Football Power Index You have reached a degraded version of because you're using an unsupported version of Internet Explorer.įor a complete experience, please upgrade or use a supported browser ![]()
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